I think maybee…

Posted in Comment by david @ Oct 1, 2008



I think maybee…

Originally uploaded by Dave in Tejas

From an outside perspective this “crisis” reads better than a good book. We are told that the US financial system (its banks) are on the brink of collapse as a direct result of the financial shinanegans that were all part of the so-called sub-prime debacle. The argument is that the collapse of a few US banks will bring the world as we know it to a grinding halt, everyone will be out of a job, soup kitchens will be the order of the day and George Bush will look more stupid than he does already.

Here in Oz our elected leaders abandoned their major climate report to make stern faced appearances before the assembled media to reiterate Oz is ok but the US needs to get is house in order or the free world will collapse. All very serious stuff! However the news coming out of the US is not all that gloomy although there is plenty to think about. For starters, people power actually worked when the congress voted against the bill to shift the debt from private banks to the federal reserve. Then there seems to be plenty of opinion that any government intervention is undesirable because it either represents some form of socialism (the epitome of evil in the US) or it is glorified corporate welfare benefiting only the mates of George W.

What seems to be agreed is that no one knows how any of this will pan out. Non intervention will force the market to self correct which might be very scary or it might not. In the long term, this might be the shot in the arm the US needed, it certainly brings the focus back to internal US political concerns which makes a refreshing change from the diet of war and terrorism that the rest of the world has been force fed since 9/11. Above all else, the matter seems to have woken up the american people to what has been going on under their noses and this has to be a good thing.

I for one hope that this event marks the time when US starts leading again, this time by example.

It’s just money!

Posted in Comment by david @ Sep 24, 2008

Apparently the Bush administration has a secret agenda in Iraq and it appears that the agenda is merely to give as much taxpayers money away as it can, a theme they really embraced with the recently new welfare class on Wall Street. Naomi Klein wrote about it in The Shock Doctrine ages ago, but it seems like some of the players are starting to go public

American money meant to be used to train and support Iraqi army, has been diverted to foreign banks. Corruption of Malaki, of the US govt, and US funded contractors…US weapons intended for the Iraqi army sold on the streets in the markets, Director of the Oil ministry a supporter of Al Quaeda…funds from oil was given to AQ to perpetrate terror on our young men and women…Maliki shut down investigations as did high level American officials…told the Iraqi investigator not to investigate or worry because it was American money. Good God!

The head of the Iraqi Dept of Defense smuggled $600,000,000 out of the country to Jordan. Corrupt banks hid the American taxpayers’ funds. Many of the corrupt evil doers have escaped to other countries with these riches. One in particular has been id’d by Interpol as a wanted and dangerous man. He is living in the US a free man.

$700 Billion???

Posted in Comment, Politics, Society by david @ Sep 22, 2008

In news today, little George has decided that Wall St needs another helping hand courtesy of the US taxpayer to the tune of $700 billion! In a most remarkable turn of events I even heard a professional money man on ABC radio describe this little event in terms of privatising profits and socialising losses. It seems that with figures this big even dyed in the wool capitalists are choking on their American Express cards.

If this measure gets the thumbs up the US taxpayer will be stumping up for over a $1000 billion to help the stock market avoid a serious structural adjustment. That’s a lot of money and as I said before, you could do a lot of other thing with that sort of money, a theme echoed in today’s Crikey by Jeff Sparrow. But what is really staggering is not only is this money going to bail out the uber rich, it actually returns absolutely nothing of value to the people (ie the taxpayers) coughing up the money. A trillion dollars of losses get transferred off the books of businesses that have been doing some transparently fucked up things onto the balance sheet of the US taxpayer. This is equivalent to adding $20,000 of debt to every american!

George Bush, not content with ripping of the US taxpayers with his highly commercialised and singularly stupid War in Iraq, has just added another massive debt to the american people. I guess they did vote for him, so it just goes to show what can happen in a democracy. Maybe George could pop the ranch up as security? How Alan Kohler on tonight’s ABC news managed to avoid the implications of this little bit of bookkeeping whilst he was waxing lyrically about the recovery in stock markets around the globe is completely beyond belief. Are these people all living in an alternative reality? This is utterly crazy stuff.

Footnote: In case you can’t read Crikey, here’s the text (I know copyright breach blah blah - get over it this is a one off)

We’ll bail out Wall St, but let’s leave climate change to the market - by Jeff Sparrow

A few months back, The Australian gave the weekly column it allocates to climate denialists to the Czech Republic’s Vaclav Klaus. Klaus explained that “climate alarmists” needed “to learn the uncompromising lesson from the inevitable collapse of communism 18 years ago. It is not about climatology. It is about freedom.”

This was simply a reiteration, in slightly more trenchant tones, of the consensus dominating Western politics for the last two decades. The NYT’s Thomas Friedman coined the splendidly incoherent metaphor of the Golden Straitjacket to describe the neo-liberal orthodoxy he and everyone else saw as both desirable and inevitable. The Market gives. The Market takes away. Blessed be the name of the Market.

Hence Klaus’ denunciation of climate advocates. By trying to impose environmental regulations, they were, he said, bucking the market and its wisdom, arrogantly assuming they were better judges than “millions of rationally behaving men and women what is right or wrong.”

Silly them.

But one wonders what Klaus makes of that communist George Bush as he embarks upon what The San Francisco Chronicle calls “the biggest socialization of private assets in U.S. history”.

At first glance, the scheme to outlay a dizzying $700 billion on illiquid mortgage assets seems like the deal that Jack might have embarked upon just after trading the family cow for some magic beans.

But it all depends on your perspective.

If you’re Richard Fuld, the chairman of Lehman Brothers, what’s not to like? You get to keep your Greenwich mansion, your Park Avenue co-op, your estate on Jupiter Island and the $40 million you earned in the last year alone. Not only do you face no penalties or recriminations, the government whisks away all the losses for which you and your pals are responsible, and dumps them squarely on the laps of everyone else.

The Calculated Risk blog puts it like this:

Unless there is a dramatic change, there will be no upside participation in the financial companies for taxpayers, and the taxpayers will recapitalize the banks by, in Krugman’s words, ‘having taxpayers pay premium prices for lousy assets’.

We’re talking, in other words, about a huge transfer of the liabilities from some of the world’s richest people to ordinary American workers, who will be handed something like a $20,000 debt each. Despite the Chronicle, this is not a nationalisation in any traditional sense, since the population doesn’t actually receive anything for their money.

Rather than becoming more transparent, the financial sector seems about to become less so. As Newsweek says, “The prospect of unelected officials putting massive amounts of taxpayer resources to work without transparency or approval from Congress, and without a clear process at work, is indeed troubling.”

Really? But it worked so well in Iraq!

Speaking of which, the $700 billion this little bailout will cost is, as many commentators have noted, roughly the same as the more conservative estimates of the bill for the Iraq war.

So that’s where we are. President Bush and his supporters can find $700 billion to spend on a war of choice. Almost overnight, they can stump up an equivalent amount to stop Adam Smith’s invisible hand from throttling their shonky cronies in the banking sector. Such extraordinary sums, if devoted to public transport or alternative energies or scores of other socially useful outlays, would go a long way to ending America’s dependence on carbon fuels.

Yet, when it comes to climate change — which, like, only threatens the viability of the one planet we have — there’s no option but to let market forces do their work.

Future generations (if indeed there are any) won’t know whether to laugh or to cry.

Corporate Welfare

Posted in Comment, Politics, Society by david @ Sep 18, 2008

The US administration effectively nationalised AIG to the tune of $100 billion or thereabouts but this isn’t the beginning of a socialist revolution. No, the Bush administration acted to prop up the rest of the stock market which might have collapsed if AIG had gone to the wall, which is what makes the development particularly sus.

AIG was in a bad way, they were left holding the bag on a whole bunch of so-called financial instruments which were underwritten by the now non-existent home loans that were extended to a whole bunch of people who couldn’t afford them. The credit growth over the last decade or so suddenly ran into the brick wall of reality and AIG were stuck with billions of dollars worth of assets that weren’t worth a thing. Zilch. Kaput!

So why should the US government buy them if nobody else wanted to be party to the biggest financial writedown in history? And importantly what do the good people of the US get in return for the money? Well it seems obvious that the move by the US Federal Reserve was meant to avert a complete collapse of the stock market, time will tell if that works, but it already seems likely that the crisis in the home of capitalism has not yet abated with news that a consortium of world central banks have popped another US $360 billion into the money market to avoid the next installment in the story. The figures just keep getting bigger. And the solutions are starting to look more like panic…

Why should any government, especially one that preaches so loudly on the efficacy of markets and the need to dergulate step in and pick up the tab? Who wins? Well the companies that don’t see their stock valuation disappear in a massive global plunge get some respite perhaps as do the fund managers who have sizeable portfolios invested in the stock market on behalf of pension and superannuation schemes. The average punter with a few shares might suffer, but it is the institutions with zillions of other peoples money at stake that are probably the most nervous at this stage, and here in lies the big rub for the western world.

The relatively recent phenomenon of spectacular and sustained growth in wealth via the stock market has suckered all and sundry into this house of cards. Governments around the globe have abandoned policies that protected national wealth as they heeded the neocon catchcry of global financial deregulation, market economies and notionally free trade. Public assets have been flogged off, government pensions replaced by private superannuation schemes and manufacturing dismantled in order to promote economies built on consumerism, driven by continuous credit. If the stock markets around the world collapse, then everyone is in deep shit because so many of our institutions are wedded to this system, whether we like it or agree with it or not.

And what happens when it does fall apart? Then the financial reserves of the biggest economies get raided. But stop and think about the money involved. $100 billion, to bail out AIG could probably build millions of houses, or 100’s of hospitals or thousands of solar and wind farms. That sort of expenditure results in tangible assets and is arguably a better way to spend public money. Instead the US government has effectively offered a very limited form of welfare that directly benefits the big players on the stock market and ends up returning nothing to the rest of the population, other than a vague assurance that the whole facade won’t come crashing down. Brilliant! What could be done with $350 billion?

The only truly delicious element to this very sorry debacle is the way that the news of it has been spread so successfully by the very agents of consumerism and manufactured consent, the mass media. Maybe we will see a sudden upsurge in some other headline grabbing news so that the Wall St wonder can quietly go about and do whatever else it needs to. What that could be is REALLY worrying. Maybe we will see the worldwide launch of a massive tree planting scheme or perhaps a wholesale shift towards sustainable agriculture and food for everyone. Maybe George Bush will grow wings and fly, perhaps the Queen will abdicate or Angelina Jolie will adopt another half a dozen needy babies. Maybe people will figure it out for themselves.

The not so environmental friendly Mr Garrett

Posted in Australia, Comment, Politics by david @ Sep 8, 2008

Last week Garnaut predicted the destruction of significant environmental treasures in good ole Oz, iconic features like the Great Barrier Reef and the Murray Darling River system. Today, the once Nuclear Disarmament Party candidate turned Labor Party hack Peter Garrett extended the deadline for legislative assessment for the proposed Gunns pulp mill in Tasmania. As Senator Milne observed “Minister Garrett had absolute discretion on this issue. He had no legal obligation to extend the deadline, and no justification for doing so”. Garrett is about as useful to the environment as a chainsaw…

The one tree left...

Rorting democracy

Posted in Comment by david @ Sep 8, 2008

While today’s news is letting us know about the latest failure of capitalism, over in WA we can see another failure in our political system, that thing that is supposed to represent the will of the people. The breakdown of the popular vote shows that the Greens polled over 11% of the vote yet they have exactly zero members in the new legislature. On the other hand the National Party who collected less than 5% of the vote end up increasing there representation to 4. It is no wonder that governments and entrenched oppositions both resist calls for proportional representation, they would all lose out. This way it is merely the voice of the people that is being ignored.

Market Failure

Posted in Comment by david @ Sep 8, 2008

All of the fans of so-called free markets take note, deregulation and unfettered greed spells big trouble. How blatant can the failure of capitalism be? The system is supposed to make money, hah! All that is happening is that public funds are now underwriting private profits so that the whole system doesn’t collapse. In other words, taxpayers who don’t have a financial interest in these businesses are forking out so that other businesses which they also don’t have an interest in can continue with business as usual, all because if these two mortgage companies have failed to look after their own arse.

We had a little market crash a few years back and around the world governments decided to nationalise a few things so that people generally were protected against the worst effects of failures in the capitalist model. In recent times such policies have been systematically attacked and the institutions undermined and sold off as the neocons lauded the economic miracle of the stock market. Now in the US we are seeing the whole house of cards looking very shaky indeed.

This doesn’t stop here unfortunately. Right now huge slabs of money are simply disappearing, a lot of it is money on the books of banks, superfunds and governments. All of the debt the US and others have been carrying as the consumed their way through the last twenty odd years is starting to look extremely risky right now.

Paying for Crikey

Posted in Comment, Media by david @ Sep 5, 2008

A few days ago I took a small plunge and paid for a subscription to Crikey. That isn’t too remarkable, people subscribe to all sorts of things. In my case it was a considered decision, after all I can get the squatter version of Crikey forever and there are plenty of other news sites around that I can trawl for free. However the recent Fairfax decision to attack its editorial workforce illustrated what is going to be the biggest single problem with mass media in the not too distant future, the question of how to make the business of journalism pay.

Now I decided to have a quick whip around to see what else is on offer as far as paying for content on the web. Lo and behold top of the pops award goes to the AFR who will give you a year’s worth of access to afr.com for only thirteen hundred bucks! Mind you they appear to charge you about half price if you already get the newspaper version so I suppose that’s an incentive.


On the other hand the Australian is available electronically for the same price as the print version which I suppose is an improvement, except who wants a complete replication of a newspaper delivered to your already overloaded in box.

You can get the Age delivered to your doorstep, newspaper style for a $1.00 a day but strangely they don’t appear to have an online version unlike the Oz. They are not alone, if you toddle off to isubscribe you can sign up for all manner of printed magazines but not a single electronic version.

Some of this might be due to concerns about plagarism and unauthorised redistribution once something hits the web, but such concerns have not prevented things like iGoogle popping up.

A few newspapers have adopted electronic versions similar to the Oz, notably the New York Times, Le Monde and the Guardian in the UK just to name a few. They offer you a electronic replica of the paper version for a comparable price plus access to the archives. It seems like a reasonable deal but it also seems to miss the point that newspapers are the product of the print age, people who want their news via the web aren’t really interested in paying for a rehash of what they can get from a newspaper. This point was illustrated by Antony Loewenstein when interviewed recently on Newshour who suggested that younger audiences are looking for a media that reflects the values of their generation. He also made the point that young people view existing media outlets with a degree of mistrust.

Still newspapers and Radio/TV stations command a sizeable amount of advertising revenue, plus they do have substantial existing audience reach. Although the numbers might be slowly declining, they are not in imminent danger of collapse. What is evident is that a cultural shift is unfolding which is bound to bring new players and different approaches that will eventually replace the institutions we currently have. Making the web pay remains problematic and creates uncertainty but hopefully the journalistic skills and traditions will survive. Although individual bloggers are often castigated for unsophisticated and factually questionable work, it may be that as individual web sites develop and gain an audience they too become more conscious of their reputation and adopt practices that reflect the same ideals that are currently the creed of existing journalism.

Are we living in a police state?

Posted in Comment by david @ Sep 1, 2008

In the coincidence stakes the following three stories (which popped up in my Slashdot feed) pose a disturbing question, are we seeing the rise and rise of a police state throughout the world?

First story was the shooting death of a prominent anti-government webmaster in Russia whilst in police custody. Next comes the slightly less dramatic news that in the US police have raided a meeting in a public of a group who were planning a protest at this week’s Republican National Convention. Then there is also news of German customs agents raiding a consumer electronics show in search of patent breaching kit, which whilst down there on the list of things puts the news that Microsoft have been granted a patent on “page-up” and “page-down” keystrokes in a slightly more interesting light. Microsoft is apparently getting close to 10,000 patents. Patents basically mean that anyone else using “your idea” has to pay you money and you can see why Bill’s baby is so keen on them. Some people actually consider them a form of protection, harking back to the days of protection rackets, but these days backed up by police or in the German case, customs powers.

Not long ago that the press were jumping up and down about the fate of a couple of elderly ladies sentenced to re-education in China for having the guts to apply for a permit to protest about housing issues in China at the time of the Olympics. Generally the western media were fairly strident in their expressions of outrage over the Chinese government actions, it remains to be seen if that was just a opportunity to have a swipe at China or whether the free press does actually have some concerns about the exercise of police (ie state) power over its own citizens. This is a serious concern given the amount of powers that anti-terrorism laws have handed police in recent years. That such laws did nothing to stop terrorists and terrorism seems to have slipped under the radar, however civil libertarians and proponents of free speech would not find cases such as these particularly comforting.

Does anyone care?

Garrett is Gutless

Posted in Australia, Comment, Politics by david @ Aug 29, 2008

In what is clearly a sign of what to expect from the Rudd Labor Government, Peter Garrett has just announced an expansion of uranium mining for South Australia’s Beverly mine. Mr Garrett owes his fame to his extensive history as the lead singer for Midnight Oil, a band that was for many the touchstone for sentiments against nuclear power and other environmental issues. In 1984 he was the lead candidate for the Nuclear Disarmament Party in the Australian Senate as well as a time as president of the Australian Conservation Foundation and Greenpeace board member. In 2007 he voted against an expansion of the uranium mining at the party’s national conference saying “I have very great concerns about the current fragile safety regimes and the porous nature of safeguards because of the International Atomic Energy Agency’s inadequate monitoring of safety issues.”

How betrayed are we all be feeling right now?

The Right must really be popping the champas right now as the pseudo lefties all over the country fall over themselves in a mad rush to pursue some historically right wing agendas, Iemma and the power sell off in NSW, Gillard and Rudd with John Howard’s education “reforms” and now Pete Garrett and an expanding uranium industry. It begs the obvious question of whether or not there is anyone with moral conviction actually in government. As for the Pete, obviously Nicholson didn’t realise just how far Garrett would go.

So as with Gunns, Mr Peter Garrett obviously is only too happy to accept the opinion of a select bunch of experts as to the consequences to the ENVIRONMENT of development proposals. The personal and instinctive responses that people feel on these subjects, and presumably Pete did share these feelings once upon a time (in a galaxy far far away), are irrelevant to a “professional” politician. I don’t share his view that ” (on the uranium mine) the proposal won’t produce any adverse significant impacts on matters of national environment significance” and I am sure plenty of other people who voted for Garrett and Labor agree. Nor of course is that any guarantee that there won’t be any adverse impact on the environment. Exxon showed us just how responsible corporations can be with regard to the environment.

He’s a piece of shit!

Cartoon


Cartoon from newmatilda.com